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Resumen
Con base en estudios previos se identificó la necesidad de aumentar la validez de la toma de decisiones estratégicas para determinar (aclarar) la estrategia de desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo. Se identificó la necesidad de elaborar un método multicriterio para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas basado en datos estadísticos sobre los resultados de la reforma y revisión del sector de la defensa, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. Para la elaboración del método se utilizó un enfoque conceptual que combina las etapas seleccionadas de elección de áreas prioritarias para el desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas y una forma recursiva de organización del proceso de cómputo. El proceso involucró el desarrollo de un sistema de indicadores y criterios de desempeño, sus coeficientes de peso, funciones recursivas y objetivo para construir un modelo matemático que sintetice los resultados del análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas. El método de análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas mediante el método recursivo de organización del proceso computacional (SADAF-RW) permite obtener valoraciones objetivas y el efecto esperado de implementar la opción estratégica elegida para la toma de decisiones estratégicas. Está dirigido a mejorar el estado de preparación y capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. El método puede ser utilizado en la elaboración de un aparato científico y metodológico para evaluar la eficacia de la planificación estratégica en el desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas, ya que se basa en los principios de objetividad de las evaluaciones, consistencia y eficacia de las decisiones estratégicas.
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